Photo Credit: Encana Corporation

Reserves Estimate

The Penobscot field is directly analogous to the Cohasset/Panuke oil fields located on the Scotian Shelf approximately 60 km to the southwest. Cohasset and Panuke produced over 44 MMBbls of light sweet oil from high quality, relatively thin, reservoir sands located within the Logan Canyon and upper Missisauga formations. The fields were on production from 1992 to 1999. The total volume of oil produced from Cohasset was 28.3 MMBbls and total Panuke production was 16.2 MMBbls demonstrating that relatively modest offshore oil fields can be economically viable.

Penobscot is interpreted to comprise three separate oil accumulations. The southern accumulation (South Penobscot) was tested by the Penobscot L-30 well and contains high confidence oil reserves. The two potential accumulations to the north (North & Northeast Penobscot) have not been drilled and are termed possible reserves. The CNSOPB conducted a probabilistic resource assessment of South Penobscot and North/Northeast Penobscot reporting in place and recoverable reserves (Tables 4.4 and 4.5).

South Penobscot - Original Oil in Place

P90

P50

P10

Mean

6.2 E6M3

10.3 E6M3

14.5 E6M3

10.4 E6M3

39.3 MMBbls

64.9 MMBbls

91.3 MMBbls

65.3 MMBbls

North & Northeast Penobscot - Original Oil in Place

P90

P50

P10

Mean

6.0 E6M3

12.4 E6M3

21.3 E6M3

13.1 E6M3

37.7 MMBbls

77.9 MMBbls

134.1 MMBbls

82.4 MMBbls

Total Penobscot - Original Oil in Place

P90

P50

P10

Mean

12.2 E6M3

22.7 E6M3

35.8 E6M3

23.5 E6M3

77.0 MMBbls

142.8 MMBbls

225.4 MMBbls

147.7 MMBbls

 

Table 4.4 Penobscot oil in place.

South Penobscot - Recoverable Oil in Place

P90

P50

P10

Mean

2.1 E6M3

3.6 E6M3

5.2 E6M3

3.6 E6M3

13.4 MMBbls

22.4 MMBbls

32.8 MMBbls

22.8 MMBbls

North & Northeast Penobscot - Recoverable Oil in Place

P90

P50

P10

Mean

2.1 E6M3

4.3 E6M3

7.6 E6M3

4.6 E6M3

13.0 MMBbls

26.8 MMBbls

47.5 MMBbls

28.8 MMBbls

Total Penobscot - Recoverable Oil in Place

P90

P50

P10

Mean

4.2 E6M3

7.9 E6M3

12.8 E6M3

8.2 E6M3

26.4 MMBbls

49.2 MMBbls

80.3 MMBbls

51.6 MMBbls

 

Table 4.5 Penobscot recoverable oil in place.